Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.186972 10.320743 11.613816 13.214519 15.166789 17.502895 20.560921
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.322849 8.719317 10.464075 12.864563 16.185813 20.795927 28.043279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.379288 7.877588 9.862676 12.797241 17.246813 24.187913 36.993036
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.724671 7.259684 9.384115 12.704184 18.127300 27.488220 47.600574
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.367207 6.975524 9.294420 13.119202 19.856511 32.827215 66.241556
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.862212 6.412787 8.704627 12.613906 19.844067 34.838525 79.088542
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.435512 5.917719 8.151870 12.067082 19.605489 36.270954 92.063069
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.118462 5.555397 7.762515 11.733798 19.694178 38.500467 111.047255
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.900532 5.323407 7.553642 11.683920 20.344727 42.454788 144.770144
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.880604 5.393816 7.842547 12.593201 23.333091 54.795770 267.804673
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.795181 5.350569 7.931556 13.130162 25.649328 67.195245 502.972059
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.650094 5.197543 7.811365 13.220423 26.873718 76.899948 899.642222
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.484173 5.013328 7.645116 13.251727 28.158165 89.516583 2201.697953
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.276255 4.746991 7.310189 12.879366 28.231863 97.098913 5623.674419
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.127977 4.570827 7.124569 12.811340 29.229811 111.974291 104907.386655
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.991600 4.404919 6.941434 12.718114 30.134651 128.778701 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.923351 4.352346 6.969832 13.133814 32.999103 169.958327 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.765479 4.130521 6.645753 12.627688 32.298846 176.904514 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.615838 3.915696 6.320703 12.079984 31.289676 179.244714 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.498671 3.753345 6.089828 11.746174 31.045035 191.614558 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.417474 3.651670 5.974053 11.696218 31.963238 225.024188 NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.427657 3.716680 6.204341 12.606950 37.572315 394.450536 NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.401864 3.713120 6.290832 13.144792 41.964198 657.235836 NaN